Kisvarda FC
vs
Gyori ETO FC
NB I prediction
The model makes it 9% Kisvarda FC, 18% draw, 73% Gyori ETO FC — fair odds of 11.11, 5.56 and 1.37. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (14%).
Expected goals: Kisvarda FC 0.66, Gyori ETO FC 2.24.
Both teams to score: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Kisvarda FC
- L2-4Ujpest8 August 2026
- W2-0away to Puskas Academy31 July 2026
- D1-1Budapest Honved25 July 2026
Gyori ETO FC
- W4-0Nyiregyhaza2 August 2026
- D2-2away to Vasas26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kisvarda FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Gyori ETO FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Kisvarda FC vs Gyori ETO FC
- 16 May 2026Kisvarda FC 0–1 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 15 February 2026Gyori ETO FC 1–0 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 26 October 2025Kisvarda FC 3–2 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 20 July 2024Gyori ETO FC 2–2 Kisvarda FCFriendlies Clubs
- 24 July 2021Gyori ETO FC 1–1 Kisvarda FCFriendlies Clubs
- 10 December 2017Kisvarda FC 1–3 Gyori ETO FCNB II
Leading scorers
Kisvarda FC
- C. Herc3 goals
Gyori ETO FC
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Kisvarda FC carry a model rating of 6.2 against 6.94 for Gyori ETO FC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Kisvarda FC D-W-L; Gyori ETO FC D-W.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.66 goals for Kisvarda FC and 2.24 for Gyori ETO FC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Kisvarda FC rate 0.41 in attack and 1.57 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Gyori ETO FC rate 1.02 and 0.85.
That points to 55% for over two and a half goals and 44% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (10%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gyori ETO FC the highest probability at 73%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.66 expected goals for Kisvarda FC against 2.24 for Gyori ETO FC. Kisvarda FC's attack/defence rating is 0.41/1.57 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.02/0.85 for Gyori ETO FC.