Gol Gohar
vs
Kheybar Khorramabad
Persian Gulf Pro League prediction
Our model says: Gol Gohar 2–1 Kheybar Khorramabad
The model makes it 53% Gol Gohar, 23% draw, 24% Kheybar Khorramabad — fair odds of 1.89, 4.35 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Gol Gohar 2.28, Kheybar Khorramabad 1.37.
Both teams to score: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%, under 2.5: 29%.
Model confidence: High.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Gol Gohar are 7th on 13 points from 8 games; Kheybar Khorramabad are 13th on 7 points from 7 games — Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Gol Gohar have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win at home to Esteghlal Khuzestan.
- Kheybar Khorramabad have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Chadormalu SC.
- Last 5 meetings: Gol Gohar 2 wins to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 31 October 2025, ended Kheybar Khorramabad 0–0 Gol Gohar.
More Persian Gulf Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Gol Gohar vs Kheybar Khorramabad
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gol Gohar at 53% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Gol Gohar vs Kheybar Khorramabad
Gol Gohar
- W3-0Esteghlal Khuzestan8 October 2026
- W3-2away to Shams Azar Qazvin10 September 2026
- L0-1away to Tractor Sazi5 September 2026
- L0-2Aluminium Arak1 September 2026
- L0-2away to Sepahan FC28 August 2026
Kheybar Khorramabad
- D2-2away to Chadormalu SC9 October 2026
- L0-1away to Nassaji Mazandaran7 September 2026
- W2-0Foolad FC2 September 2026
- D2-2away to Aluminium Arak28 August 2026
- L2-3Paykan24 August 2026
What these results say
- Gol Gohar conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kheybar Khorramabad failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kheybar Khorramabad scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kheybar Khorramabad conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Gol Gohar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 13 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Gol Gohar
Chance to finish in the top four · 14% today
Kheybar Khorramabad
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 10% today
From our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Gol Gohar vs Kheybar Khorramabad
- 31 October 2025Kheybar Khorramabad 0–0 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
- 6 March 2025Gol Gohar 2–0 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
- 14 February 2025Gol Gohar 0–0 Kheybar KhorramabadHazfi Cup
- 4 October 2024Kheybar Khorramabad 0–0 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
- 30 March 2017Gol Gohar 1–0 Kheybar KhorramabadAzadegan League
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Gol Gohar carry a model rating of 6.47 against 6.37 for Kheybar Khorramabad. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.28 goals for Gol Gohar and 1.37 for Kheybar Khorramabad. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Gol Gohar rate 0.72 in attack and 1.56 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Kheybar Khorramabad rate 0.73 and 1.95.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Gol Gohar a 0.2% chance of the title and Kheybar Khorramabad 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gol Gohar the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.28 expected goals for Gol Gohar against 1.37 for Kheybar Khorramabad. Gol Gohar's attack/defence rating is 0.72/1.56 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.73/1.95 for Kheybar Khorramabad.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Gol Gohar at home · Kheybar Khorramabad away
League matches only, Persian Gulf Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Persian Gulf Pro League matches this season: Gol Gohar 8, Kheybar Khorramabad 7.
Gol Gohar score most often in the 16–30 minute window (3 goals); Kheybar Khorramabad have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
Gol Gohar
- at Sanat Naft31 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 48%
- vs ZOB Ahan8 Nov · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 55%
Kheybar Khorramabad
- vs Sepahan FC30 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 32%
- at Tractor Sazi7 Nov · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 15%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.