Artis
vs
Bohemians 1905
Czech Liga prediction
Our model says: Artis 0–1 Bohemians 1905
The model makes it 27% Artis, 30% draw, 43% Bohemians 1905 — fair odds of 3.70, 3.33 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Artis 0.93, Bohemians 1905 1.46.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%, under 2.5: 57%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Key facts
- Artis are 14th on 5 points from 9 games; Bohemians 1905 are 12th on 9 points from 8 games — Czech Liga.
- Artis are without a win in 3, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Slovan Liberec.
- Bohemians 1905 have won 1 of their last 5, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Pardubice.
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Artis vs Bohemians 1905
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bohemians 1905 at 43% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Artis vs Bohemians 1905
Artis
- D0-0Slovan Liberec19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Zbrojovka Brno12 September 2026
- L0-3Plzen5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Pardubice29 August 2026
- L0-4Sparta Praha22 August 2026
Bohemians 1905
- L1-2away to Pardubice19 September 2026
- W2-0Slovácko12 September 2026
- L0-3away to Sigma Olomouc5 September 2026
- D1-1FK Jablonec2 September 2026
- D2-2away to Slavia Praha22 August 2026
What these results say
- Artis failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Artis conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Artis had three goals or more.
- Bohemians 1905 failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bohemians 1905 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bohemians 1905 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Artis | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
The two sides
Artis carry a model rating of 6.27 against 6.6 for Bohemians 1905. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.93 goals for Artis and 1.46 for Bohemians 1905. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Artis rate 0.54 in attack and 1.71 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Bohemians 1905 rate 0.67 and 1.13.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Bohemians 1905 the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.93 expected goals for Artis against 1.46 for Bohemians 1905. Artis's attack/defence rating is 0.54/1.71 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.67/1.13 for Bohemians 1905.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Artis at home · Bohemians 1905 away
League matches only, Czech Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Czech Liga matches this season: Artis 9, Bohemians 1905 8.
Artis score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); Bohemians 1905 have let in 2 there.
Bohemians 1905 score most often in the 61–75 minute window (3 goals); Artis have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Artis
- at Teplice24 Oct · Czech Ligawin 18%
- vs Zlin31 Oct · Czech Ligawin 34%
- at Slavia Praha8 Nov · Czech Ligawin 8%
- vs FK Jablonec21 Nov · Czech Ligawin 27%
Bohemians 1905
- at Zbrojovka Brno24 Oct · Czech Ligawin 30%
- vs Sparta Praha1 Nov · Czech Ligawin 26%
- at Slovan Liberec7 Nov · Czech Ligawin 25%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.