K League 1

1. FC Seoul — 62 points from 29 played (19 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost), 55 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference +32. Form, oldest first: W W W L W.
2. Ulsan Hyundai FC — 47 points from 29 played (14 won, 5 drawn, 10 lost), 44 scored, 38 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: L W D W W.
3. Jeonbuk Motors — 43 points from 29 played (11 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost), 36 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: D D W D L.
4. Jeju United FC — 43 points from 29 played (11 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost), 34 scored, 29 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: L W D W D.
5. Gangwon FC — 42 points from 28 played (10 won, 12 drawn, 6 lost), 36 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: D D W D D.
6. Daejeon Citizen — 39 points from 29 played (10 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost), 45 scored, 36 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W L W W D.
7. Incheon United — 37 points from 28 played (10 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost), 35 scored, 32 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: L D L W L.
8. Pohang Steelers — 37 points from 29 played (10 won, 7 drawn, 12 lost), 26 scored, 33 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: W D L D D.
9. FC Anyang — 35 points from 29 played (8 won, 11 drawn, 10 lost), 36 scored, 46 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: W D L L D.
10. Bucheon FC 1995 — 32 points from 29 played (7 won, 11 drawn, 11 lost), 31 scored, 38 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L D L L D.
11. Gimcheon Sangmu FC — 30 points from 29 played (4 won, 18 drawn, 7 lost), 28 scored, 36 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: D L D D D.
12. Gwangju FC — 14 points from 29 played (1 won, 11 drawn, 17 lost), 19 scored, 61 conceded, goal difference -42. Form, oldest first: D L D L D.

What moved

Measured against 2026-09-13, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped.

• Gimcheon Sangmu FC — bottom-three risk down 3.6, to 90.6%.
• FC Anyang — bottom-three risk up 2.8, to 32.3%.
• Pohang Steelers — bottom-three risk up 1.2, to 12.6%.
• Daejeon Citizen — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 0.2%.
• Gangwon FC — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 0%.

Season projection

Every one of the 25 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Relegation Group, Championship Group, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-09-13, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. FC Seoul — projected to finish on 69.4 points, from 62 after 29 played. Finishes top of the regular season 100%, finishes top four 100%, bottom three 0%.
2. Ulsan Hyundai FC — projected to finish on 53.5 points, from 47 after 29 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 98%, bottom three 0%.
3. Gangwon FC — projected to finish on 49.8 points, from 42 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 74%, bottom three 0%.
4. Jeonbuk Motors — projected to finish on 49.4 points, from 43 after 29 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 72.9%, bottom three 0%.
5. Jeju United FC — projected to finish on 47.1 points, from 43 after 29 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 29.2%, bottom three 0%.
6. Daejeon Citizen — projected to finish on 45.2 points, from 39 after 29 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 15.7%, bottom three 0.2%.
7. Incheon United — projected to finish on 44.1 points, from 37 after 28 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 9.6%, bottom three 1.9%.
8. Pohang Steelers — projected to finish on 41.8 points, from 37 after 29 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.6%, bottom three 12.6%.
9. FC Anyang — projected to finish on 40.1 points, from 35 after 29 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 32.3%.
10. Bucheon FC 1995 — projected to finish on 37.8 points, from 32 after 29 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 62.6%.
11. Gimcheon Sangmu FC — projected to finish on 34.9 points, from 30 after 29 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 90.6%.
12. Gwangju FC — projected to finish on 17.1 points, from 14 after 29 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 100%.

Top scorers

1. S. Mugoša (Incheon United) — 9 goals.
2. Yago Cariello (Ulsan Hyundai FC) — 6 goals.
3. Airton (FC Anyang) — 5 goals.
4. Lee Dong-Gyeong (Ulsan Hyundai FC) — 4 goals, 5 assists.
5. Lee Seung-Woo (Jeonbuk Motors) — 4 goals, 3 assists.
6. Go Jae-Hyeon (Gimcheon Sangmu FC) — 4 goals, 3 assists.
7. Jefferson Galego (Bucheon FC 1995) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
8. Jeong Jae-Hee (Daejeon Citizen) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
9. P. Klimala (FC Seoul) — 4 goals.
10. A. Halaihal (Gangwon FC) — 4 goals.
11. M. Ferrier (Incheon United) — 4 goals.
12. Lee Ho-Jae (Pohang Steelers) — 4 goals.
13. Mo Jae-Hyeon (Gangwon FC) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
14. Matheus Aiás (Jeju United FC) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
15. Lee Seung-Mo (FC Seoul) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
16. Lee Kun-Hee (Gimcheon Sangmu FC) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
17. M. Ishida (Daejeon Citizen) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
18. Juninho Rocha (Pohang Steelers) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
19. Tiago Orobó (Jeonbuk Motors) — 3 goals.
20. Matheus Oliveira (FC Anyang) — 2 goals, 2 assists.