- Lask Linz — 15 points from 6 played (5 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost), 16 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference +12. Form, oldest first: W W W W L.
- Rapid Vienna — 15 points from 6 played (5 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost), 18 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W W W L W.
- Red Bull Salzburg — 14 points from 6 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost), 15 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: D W W W D.
- Sturm Graz — 11 points from 6 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 8 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W W D L W.
- WSG Wattens — 8 points from 6 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 9 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L L W W D.
- TSV Hartberg — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L L W W D.
- Grazer AK — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 4 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: W L L D W.
- Austria Vienna — 6 points from 6 played (2 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost), 5 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: L W L L W.
- Wolfsberger AC — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 6 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D L D L L.
- Ried — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L L W L D.
- Austria Lustenau — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 6 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L W D L L.
- SCR Altach — 3 points from 6 played (1 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost), 5 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: W L L L L.
What moved
Measured against 2026-09-13, the last update whose numbers changed —
not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried
forward rather than restamped. 12 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.
- Rapid Vienna — chance of finishing top up 31, to 52.5%; bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 0%.
- Lask Linz — chance of finishing top down 23, to 19.5%; bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 0%.
- Wolfsberger AC — chance of finishing top down 0.1, to 0%; bottom-three risk down 21.7, to 17.4%.
- Ried — chance of finishing top down 0.1, to 0%; bottom-three risk down 18.5, to 20.9%.
- Austria Lustenau — bottom-three risk up 18.4, to 68.2%.
Season projection
Every one of the 96 matches this phase has left,
played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each
side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a
title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those
depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Championship Group, Relegation Group, Semi-finals, and on from there follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-09-13, the last update whose numbers changed.
- Rapid Vienna — projected to finish on 46.3 points, from 15 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 52.5% (up 31), finishes top four 99.2%, bottom three 0%.
- Red Bull Salzburg — projected to finish on 43.3 points, from 14 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 25.8% (down 2.7), finishes top four 97.1%, bottom three 0%.
- Lask Linz — projected to finish on 42.2 points, from 15 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 19.5% (down 23), finishes top four 95.9%, bottom three 0%.
- Sturm Graz — projected to finish on 35.9 points, from 11 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.1% (down 4.2), finishes top four 67.8%, bottom three 0.8%.
- Wolfsberger AC — projected to finish on 27.9 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top four 10.7%, bottom three 17.4%.
- Ried — projected to finish on 27.2 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top four 8.3%, bottom three 20.9%.
- WSG Wattens — projected to finish on 26.9 points, from 8 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (down 0.3), finishes top four 6.9%, bottom three 21.5%.
- Grazer AK — projected to finish on 26.3 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top four 5.3%, bottom three 28.9%.
- Austria Vienna — projected to finish on 25.7 points, from 6 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top four 4.3%, bottom three 31.4%.
- TSV Hartberg — projected to finish on 25.2 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.5), finishes top four 3.6%, bottom three 35.3%.
- Austria Lustenau — projected to finish on 21.1 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.6%, bottom three 68.2%.
- SCR Altach — projected to finish on 19.6 points, from 3 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom three 75.6%.
Top scorers
- T. Adamsen (Rapid Vienna) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
- C. Lang (Lask Linz) — 4 goals.
- K. Konaté (Red Bull Salzburg) — 4 goals.
- S. Adeniran (Lask Linz) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
- G. Vrioni (Wolfsberger AC) — 4 goals.
- D. Weixelbraun (Austria Lustenau) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
- P. Dahl (Rapid Vienna) — 3 goals.
- H. Tabaković (Red Bull Salzburg) — 3 goals.
- M. Usor (Lask Linz) — 2 goals, 3 assists.
- Y. Vertessen (Red Bull Salzburg) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
- A. Verinac (Austria Lustenau) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
- M. Olakigbe (WSG Wattens) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
- J. Hettwer (Austria Vienna) — 2 goals.
- E. Kara (Rapid Vienna) — 2 goals.
- A. Hofleitner (Grazer AK) — 2 goals.
- N. Cvetković (Rapid Vienna) — 2 goals.
- N. Weiper (Sturm Graz) — 2 goals.
- Y. Massombo (SCR Altach) — 2 goals.
- Y. Demir (Rapid Vienna) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
- C. Hoffmann (TSV Hartberg) — 2 goals, 1 assist.