The model on 7 October: 8 out of 16
Of the 16 matches our model predicted before kick-off on Wednesday 7 October 2026, it called the result of 8 (50%). It named the exact scoreline 2 times. Across all 3,091 matches it has predicted since 19 July, the rate is 47%.
By competition
- Serie B: 4 of 6
- Serie A: 2 of 5
- Ligue 1: 2 of 3
- Major League Soccer: 0 of 1
- Veikkausliiga: 0 of 1
The most confident misses
The predictions it was surest about and got wrong:
- Operario-PR 1-2 Botafogo SP: the model had Operario-PR at 48%.
- Ben Aknoun 2-2 JS El Biar: the model had Ben Aknoun at 45%.
- Botafogo 1-2 Vasco da Gama: the model had Botafogo at 44%.
Exact scorelines
- Ponte Preta 0-2 Juventude: the exact score it named, with Juventude at 61%.
- Avai 2-1 Londrina: the exact score it named, with Avai at 40%.
How this is counted
A result counts as called when the outcome the model rated most likely (home win, draw or away win) is the one that happened. Every prediction here was published and logged before kick-off, and the log is public: the track record breaks it down by confidence, by competition and by club. How the probabilities are produced, including where the model is known to be wrong, is in the methodology.
Every evening on Telegram
This summary is posted each evening on our Telegram channel, t.me/fulltimestats_com, with a link back to the full recap.