The model rates their attack at 1.17× the league average and their defence at 0.99× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Next they travel to Sweden in the UEFA Nations League on 25 September 2026, a match the model gives them 39%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Attacking strength1.17× league avg
Defensive solidity0.99× goals conceded
Next match: Romania vs Sweden
Romania travel to Sweden on 25 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 39% Romania, 29% draw and 32% Sweden, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.60 expected goals for Romania against 1.34. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Full preview and model analysis for Romania vs Sweden