The model rates their attack at 1.17× the league average and their defence at 1.04× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Next they host Bosnia & Herzegovina in the UEFA Nations League on 25 September 2026, a match the model gives them 41%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Poland host Bosnia & Herzegovina on 25 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 41% Poland, 30% draw and 29% Bosnia & Herzegovina, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.47 expected goals for Poland against 1.08. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Full preview and model analysis for Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina