Regular Season - 4 · 23 August 2026, 14:30 UTC

Grasshoppers vs FC Sion Super League prediction

Letzigrund Stadion

The model makes it 30% Grasshoppers, 27% draw, 43% FC Sion — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Expected goals: Grasshoppers 1.17, FC Sion 1.46.

Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

54%
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 13%0-1 10%1-2 9%

Form going into this match

Grasshoppers

  • L1-2away to Servette FC8 August 2026
  • L1-4FC Lugano2 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Lausanne25 July 2026

FC Sion

  • W3-2FC Vaduz9 August 2026
  • W3-0FC Luzern2 August 2026
  • L2-4away to BSC Young Boys26 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Grasshoppers301237-41
4FC Sion320186+26

Where the two sides stand. Full tables

Leading scorers

Grasshoppers

No league goals recorded yet.

FC Sion

  • J. Lukembila1 goals1 assists
  • Winsley Boteli Mokango1 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

The two sides

Grasshoppers carry a model rating of 6.34 against 6.59 for FC Sion. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

Recent form (most recent last): Grasshoppers D-L-L; FC Sion L-W-W.

What the model expects

Under the hood the model expects 1.17 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.46 for FC Sion. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

Grasshoppers rate 0.51 in attack and 1.45 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Sion rate 0.72 and 1.21.

That points to 49% for over two and a half goals and 54% for both teams to score.

The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FC Sion the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.17 expected goals for Grasshoppers against 1.46 for FC Sion. Grasshoppers's attack/defence rating is 0.51/1.45 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.72/1.21 for FC Sion.