Farul Constanta
vs
FC Botosani
Liga I prediction
The model makes it 85% Farul Constanta, 9% draw, 6% FC Botosani — fair odds of 1.18, 11.11 and 16.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 4-1 (7%).
Expected goals: Farul Constanta 4.15, FC Botosani 1.28.
Both teams to score: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 90%, under 2.5: 10%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Farul Constanta
- D1-1away to Arges Pitesti14 August 2026
- W3-2Csikszereda8 August 2026
- D2-2away to FCSB3 August 2026
- W2-0Corvinul Hunedoara25 July 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj19 July 2026
FC Botosani
- D0-0Corvinul Hunedoara10 August 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj3 August 2026
- D1-1Rapid27 July 2026
- D2-2away to FC Voluntari17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Farul Constanta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 | FC Botosani | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Farul Constanta vs FC Botosani
- 2 May 2026Farul Constanta 1–1 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 11 January 2026FC Botosani 1–0 Farul ConstantaFriendlies Clubs
- 7 November 2025Farul Constanta 2–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 30 October 2025FC Botosani 1–1 Farul ConstantaCupa României
- 14 July 2025FC Botosani 1–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 29 March 2025FC Botosani 4–3 Farul ConstantaLiga I
Leading scorers
Farul Constanta
- Iustin Doicaru3 goals1 assists
- E. Rădăslăvescu2 goals2 assists
- M. Ahlinvi2 goals1 assists
FC Botosani
- A. Dumiter2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Farul Constanta carry a model rating of 6.54 against 6.05 for FC Botosani. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Farul Constanta L-W-D-W-D; FC Botosani D-D-L-D.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 4.15 goals for Farul Constanta and 1.28 for FC Botosani. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Farul Constanta rate 0.98 in attack and 2.03 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Botosani rate 0.45 and 2.24.
That points to 90% for over two and a half goals and 71% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 4-1 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 5-1 (6%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Farul Constanta the highest probability at 85%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 4.15 expected goals for Farul Constanta against 1.28 for FC Botosani. Farul Constanta's attack/defence rating is 0.98/2.03 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.45/2.24 for FC Botosani.