FC Voluntari
vs
Oțelul
Liga I prediction
The model makes it 16% FC Voluntari, 14% draw, 70% Oțelul — fair odds of 6.25, 7.14 and 1.43. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-3 (6%).
Expected goals: FC Voluntari 1.94, Oțelul 3.73.
Both teams to score: 84%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%, under 2.5: 8%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
FC Voluntari
- L1-2Petrolul Ploiesti14 August 2026
- L0-4away to Dinamo Bucuresti8 August 2026
- W1-0Uta Arad1 August 2026
- L0-5away to CFR 1907 Cluj27 July 2026
- D2-2FC Botosani17 July 2026
Oțelul
- L0-1away to Petrolul Ploiesti9 August 2026
- D1-1Dinamo Bucuresti31 July 2026
- D2-2away to Uta Arad24 July 2026
- W2-1CFR 1907 Cluj18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | FC Voluntari | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 11 | Oțelul | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: FC Voluntari vs Oțelul
- 13 April 2024FC Voluntari 1–1 OțelulLiga I
- 22 January 2024FC Voluntari 1–1 OțelulLiga I
- 25 August 2023Oțelul 2–2 FC VoluntariLiga I
Leading scorers
FC Voluntari
No league goals recorded yet.
Oțelul
- Patrick3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
FC Voluntari carry a model rating of 6.1 against 6.63 for Oțelul. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): FC Voluntari D-L-W-L-L; Oțelul W-D-D-L.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.94 goals for FC Voluntari and 3.73 for Oțelul. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Voluntari rate 0.54 in attack and 2.47 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Oțelul rate 1.08 and 1.90.
That points to 92% for over two and a half goals and 84% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-3 (6%), 2-3 (6%), 1-4 (5%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Oțelul the highest probability at 70%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.94 expected goals for FC Voluntari against 3.73 for Oțelul. FC Voluntari's attack/defence rating is 0.54/2.47 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.08/1.9 for Oțelul.