Rapid
vs
Universitatea Craiova
Liga I prediction
The model makes it 71% Rapid, 16% draw, 13% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 1.41, 6.25 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Rapid 2.71, Universitatea Craiova 1.09.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%, under 2.5: 27%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Rapid
- D0-0away to Uta Arad7 August 2026
- W3-1CFR 1907 Cluj2 August 2026
- D1-1away to FC Botosani27 July 2026
- W1-0Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe20 July 2026
Universitatea Craiova
- L0-1Arges Pitesti9 August 2026
- W4-0Petrolul Ploiesti1 August 2026
- L1-5away to Dinamo Bucuresti25 July 2026
- W4-0Uta Arad18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rapid | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 | Universitatea Craiova | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Rapid vs Universitatea Craiova
- 25 May 2026Rapid 0–0 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 19 April 2026Universitatea Craiova 1–0 RapidLiga I
- 8 March 2026Rapid 1–1 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 2 November 2025Universitatea Craiova 2–2 RapidLiga I
- 2 May 2025Universitatea Craiova 1–2 RapidLiga I
- 29 March 2025Rapid 1–2 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
Leading scorers
Rapid
- A. Dobre2 goals
Universitatea Craiova
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Rapid carry a model rating of 6.84 against 6.53 for Universitatea Craiova. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Rapid W-D-W-D; Universitatea Craiova W-L-W-L.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.71 goals for Rapid and 1.09 for Universitatea Craiova. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Rapid rate 1.08 in attack and 1.11 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Universitatea Craiova rate 0.70 and 1.33.
That points to 73% for over two and a half goals and 62% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%), 3-1 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rapid the highest probability at 71%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.71 expected goals for Rapid against 1.09 for Universitatea Craiova. Rapid's attack/defence rating is 1.08/1.11 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.33 for Universitatea Craiova.