CFR 1907 Cluj
vs
FCSB
Liga I prediction
The model makes it 58% CFR 1907 Cluj, 26% draw, 16% FCSB — fair odds of 1.72, 3.85 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (15%).
Expected goals: CFR 1907 Cluj 1.60, FCSB 0.73.
Both teams to score: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
CFR 1907 Cluj
- L1-3away to Rapid2 August 2026
- W5-0FC Voluntari27 July 2026
- L1-2away to Oțelul18 July 2026
FCSB
- D2-2Farul Constanta3 August 2026
- W2-0away to Csikszereda26 July 2026
- W2-0Arges Pitesti17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 | FCSB | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
CFR 1907 Cluj
- S. Dražić3 goals1 assists
- A. Cordea3 goals
FCSB
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
CFR 1907 Cluj carry a model rating of 6.68 against 6.4 for FCSB. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): CFR 1907 Cluj L-W-L; FCSB W-W-D.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.60 goals for CFR 1907 Cluj and 0.73 for FCSB. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
CFR 1907 Cluj rate 0.61 in attack and 0.93 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FCSB rate 0.56 and 1.39.
That points to 41% for over two and a half goals and 42% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%).
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour FCSB, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CFR 1907 Cluj the highest probability at 58%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.6 expected goals for CFR 1907 Cluj against 0.73 for FCSB. CFR 1907 Cluj's attack/defence rating is 0.61/0.93 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.56/1.39 for FCSB.