Petrolul Ploiesti
vs
Rapid
Liga I prediction
The model makes it 12% Petrolul Ploiesti, 20% draw, 68% Rapid — fair odds of 8.33, 5.00 and 1.47. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (13%).
Expected goals: Petrolul Ploiesti 0.74, Rapid 2.10.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Petrolul Ploiesti
- W1-0Oțelul9 August 2026
- L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova1 August 2026
- L0-1away to Arges Pitesti24 July 2026
- W1-0Dinamo Bucuresti19 July 2026
Rapid
- D0-0away to Uta Arad7 August 2026
- W3-1CFR 1907 Cluj2 August 2026
- D1-1away to FC Botosani27 July 2026
- W1-0Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe20 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 1 | Rapid | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Petrolul Ploiesti
No league goals recorded yet.
Rapid
- A. Dobre2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Petrolul Ploiesti carry a model rating of 6.23 against 6.87 for Rapid. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Petrolul Ploiesti W-L-L-W; Rapid W-D-W-D.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.74 goals for Petrolul Ploiesti and 2.10 for Rapid. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Petrolul Ploiesti rate 0.41 in attack and 1.50 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Rapid rate 1.00 and 0.96.
That points to 54% for over two and a half goals and 47% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (10%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rapid the highest probability at 68%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.74 expected goals for Petrolul Ploiesti against 2.1 for Rapid. Petrolul Ploiesti's attack/defence rating is 0.41/1.5 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1/0.96 for Rapid.