FC Botosani
vs
Csikszereda
Liga I prediction
The model makes it 55% FC Botosani, 23% draw, 22% Csikszereda — fair odds of 1.82, 4.35 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: FC Botosani 1.91, Csikszereda 1.11.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
FC Botosani
- L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj3 August 2026
- D1-1Rapid27 July 2026
- D2-2away to FC Voluntari17 July 2026
Csikszereda
- L2-3away to Farul Constanta8 August 2026
- L0-1away to Arges Pitesti31 July 2026
- L0-2FCSB26 July 2026
- L0-3away to Corvinul Hunedoara20 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | FC Botosani | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
FC Botosani
- A. Dumiter2 goals
Csikszereda
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
FC Botosani carry a model rating of 6.12 against 6.02 for Csikszereda. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): FC Botosani D-D-L; Csikszereda L-L-L-L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.91 goals for FC Botosani and 1.11 for Csikszereda. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Botosani rate 0.54 in attack and 2.34 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Csikszereda rate 0.34 and 1.87.
That points to 58% for over two and a half goals and 58% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Botosani the highest probability at 55%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.91 expected goals for FC Botosani against 1.11 for Csikszereda. FC Botosani's attack/defence rating is 0.54/2.34 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.34/1.87 for Csikszereda.