On the model's scale they rate 0.82 in attack and 1.45 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better): below the division's average at both ends. Next they travel to Newcastle Jets in the AFC Champions League Elite on 13 October 2026, a match the model gives them 34%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Gamba Osaka vs Newcastle Jets
Gamba Osaka travel to Newcastle Jets at McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle on 13 October 2026, 07:45 UTC. The model makes it 34% Gamba Osaka, 26% draw and 40% Newcastle Jets, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.69 expected goals for Gamba Osaka against 1.94. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Full preview and model analysis for Gamba Osaka vs Newcastle Jets