Gyori ETO FC
vs
Zalaegerszegi TE
NB I prediction
The model makes it 95% Gyori ETO FC, 4% draw, 1% Zalaegerszegi TE — fair odds of 1.05, 25.00 and 100.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 4-0 (13%).
Expected goals: Gyori ETO FC 4.31, Zalaegerszegi TE 0.43.
Both teams to score: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%, under 2.5: 15%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Gyori ETO FC
- W4-0Nyiregyhaza2 August 2026
- D2-2away to Vasas26 July 2026
Zalaegerszegi TE
- L0-5away to Vasas8 August 2026
- W5-2Paks3 August 2026
- L0-3away to MTK Budapest27 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gyori ETO FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 4 |
| 10 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Gyori ETO FC
No league goals recorded yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE
- Calderón2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Gyori ETO FC carry a model rating of 6.99 against 6 for Zalaegerszegi TE. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Gyori ETO FC D-W; Zalaegerszegi TE L-W-L.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 4.31 goals for Gyori ETO FC and 0.43 for Zalaegerszegi TE. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Gyori ETO FC rate 1.13 in attack and 0.85 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Zalaegerszegi TE rate 0.36 and 2.02.
That points to 85% for over two and a half goals and 34% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 4-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 5-0 (11%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gyori ETO FC the highest probability at 95%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 4.31 expected goals for Gyori ETO FC against 0.43 for Zalaegerszegi TE. Gyori ETO FC's attack/defence rating is 1.13/0.85 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.36/2.02 for Zalaegerszegi TE.