Levadiakos
vs
Panetolikos
Super League 1 prediction
The model makes it 63% Levadiakos, 18% draw, 19% Panetolikos — fair odds of 1.59, 5.56 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Levadiakos 2.59, Panetolikos 1.40.
Both teams to score: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%, under 2.5: 24%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Levadiakos vs Panetolikos
- 19 January 2026Panetolikos 1–3 LevadiakosSuper League 1
- 5 October 2025Levadiakos 6–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
- 25 July 2025Levadiakos 0–0 PanetolikosFriendlies Clubs
- 14 May 2025Levadiakos 1–2 PanetolikosSuper League 1
- 29 March 2025Panetolikos 1–2 LevadiakosSuper League 1
- 9 March 2025Panetolikos 0–0 LevadiakosSuper League 1
The two sides
Levadiakos carry a model rating of 6.71 against 6.54 for Panetolikos. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.59 goals for Levadiakos and 1.40 for Panetolikos. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Levadiakos rate 1.03 in attack and 1.41 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Panetolikos rate 0.71 and 1.33.
That points to 76% for over two and a half goals and 70% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 495 correct results out of 1026 settled predictions (48%), with 95 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Levadiakos the highest probability at 63%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.59 expected goals for Levadiakos against 1.4 for Panetolikos. Levadiakos's attack/defence rating is 1.03/1.41 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.33 for Panetolikos.