UEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 29 July 2026, 18:15 UTC

Slovan Bratislava vs Saburtalo

Tehelne Pole Stadion, Bratislava
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Saburtalo.

Before kick-off the model made it 78% Slovan Bratislava, 14% draw, 8% Saburtalo — fair odds of 1.28, 7.14 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (10%).

Expected goals: Slovan Bratislava 2.79, Saburtalo 0.83.

Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%, under 2.5: 30%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

53%
Both teams to score
70%
Over 2.5 goals
30%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-0 10%3-0 10%2-1 9%

Match stats: Slovan Bratislava vs Saburtalo

Goals: Mykola Kukharevych 44' for Slovan Bratislava, Nika Sikharulashvili 51' for Saburtalo.

Head-to-head: Slovan Bratislava vs Saburtalo

  • 21 July 2026Saburtalo 0–2 Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Slovan Bratislava the highest probability at 78%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.79 expected goals for Slovan Bratislava against 0.83 for Saburtalo. Slovan Bratislava's attack/defence rating is 0.66/1.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.48/2.24 for Saburtalo.