Levadiakos
vs
Panathinaikos
Super League 1 prediction
The model makes it 74% Levadiakos, 14% draw, 12% Panathinaikos — fair odds of 1.35, 7.14 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1 (8%).
Expected goals: Levadiakos 3.25, Panathinaikos 1.32.
Both teams to score: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%, under 2.5: 17%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Levadiakos vs Panathinaikos
- 8 March 2026Levadiakos 1–4 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
- 31 August 2025Panathinaikos 1–1 LevadiakosSuper League 1
- 15 December 2024Levadiakos 0–1 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
- 25 August 2024Panathinaikos 1–0 LevadiakosSuper League 1
- 3 January 2023Levadiakos 0–1 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
- 3 September 2022Panathinaikos 1–0 LevadiakosSuper League 1
The two sides
Levadiakos carry a model rating of 6.71 against 6.39 for Panathinaikos. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Panathinaikos W-D-D.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 3.25 goals for Levadiakos and 1.32 for Panathinaikos. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Levadiakos rate 1.03 in attack and 1.41 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Panathinaikos rate 0.67 and 1.67.
That points to 83% for over two and a half goals and 71% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 4-1 (6%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Levadiakos the highest probability at 74%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 3.25 expected goals for Levadiakos against 1.32 for Panathinaikos. Levadiakos's attack/defence rating is 1.03/1.41 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.67/1.67 for Panathinaikos.