The model rates their attack at 0.48× the league average and their defence at 2.24× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Next they travel to Jagiellonia in the UEFA Europa League on 20 August 2026, a match the model gives them 7%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Saburtalo vs Jagiellonia
Saburtalo travel to Jagiellonia at Chorten Arena, Bialystok on 20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. The model makes it 7% Saburtalo, 12% draw and 81% Jagiellonia, with a most likely scoreline of 3-0. It projects 0.99 expected goals for Saburtalo against 3.34. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
Full preview and model analysis for Saburtalo vs Jagiellonia