https://fulltimestats.com/article Match previews, match reviews and the model's own record, newest first. en https://fulltimestats.com/article/which-leagues-draw-the-most study:which-leagues-draw-the-most Fri, 25 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT A quarter of league matches end level: 26.3% of the 30,633 we counted across 51 leagues over their last two completed seasons. But the league you watch changes that a lot. https://fulltimestats.com/article/weekend-preview-2026-09-26 weekend:2026-09-26 Fri, 25 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Our model has a prediction for 76 matches this weekend (26-27 September), across 9 competitions. It is surest about Switzerland: 66% to beat FYR Macedonia, most likely 0-2. 9 matches are within three points either way, games where the draw is a real outcome. https://fulltimestats.com/article/who-is-missing-2026-09-26 absences:2026-09-26 Fri, 25 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT The injury and suspension report covers 15 of the 76 matches on our board this weekend (26-27 September). Across them, 118 players are ruled out and 30 are doubtful. Real Salt Lake have the longest list: 8 players out for their match against New England Revolution. https://fulltimestats.com/article/model-recap-2026-09-24 recap:2026-09-24 Fri, 25 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Of the 11 matches our model predicted before kick-off on Thursday 24 September 2026, it called the result of 8 (73%). It named the exact scoreline once. Across all 2,822 matches it has predicted since 19 July, the rate is 47%. https://fulltimestats.com/match/netherlands-vs-germany-2026-09-24#match-writeup match:netherlands-germany-2026-09-24-report Fri, 25 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Netherlands 1–1 Germany finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Germany at 41%, and rated the actual result at 28%. https://fulltimestats.com/match/norway-vs-denmark-2026-09-24#match-writeup match:norway-denmark-2026-09-24-report Fri, 25 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Norway 3–2 Denmark finished with Norway winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 40%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 3–2. https://fulltimestats.com/match/atletico-nacional-vs-millonarios-2026-09-25#match-writeup match:atletico-nacional-millonarios-2026-09-25-report Fri, 25 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Atletico Nacional 1–1 Millonarios finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Atletico Nacional at 46%, and rated the actual result at 29%. https://fulltimestats.com/match/austria-vs-kosovo-2026-09-27#match-writeup match:austria-kosovo-2026-09-27-preview Fri, 25 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Our model leans to Austria here, but not by much: 41% (fair odds 2.44) against 28% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result. https://fulltimestats.com/match/denmark-vs-wales-2026-09-27#match-writeup match:denmark-wales-2026-09-27-preview Fri, 25 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Our model leans to Denmark here, but not by much: 42% (fair odds 2.38) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result. https://fulltimestats.com/match/norway-vs-portugal-2026-09-27#match-writeup match:norway-portugal-2026-09-27-preview Fri, 25 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Norway host Portugal in a game our model cannot separate: 35% for the home side, 28% for the draw and 37% for the visitors. https://fulltimestats.com/match/bulgaria-vs-luxembourg-2026-09-26#match-writeup match:bulgaria-luxembourg-2026-09-26-preview Thu, 24 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Our model leans to Bulgaria here, but not by much: 42% (fair odds 2.38) against 29% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result. https://fulltimestats.com/match/england-vs-spain-2026-09-26#match-writeup match:england-spain-2026-09-26-preview Thu, 24 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT England host Spain in a game our model cannot separate: 32% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 39% for the visitors. https://fulltimestats.com/match/slovenia-vs-scotland-2026-09-26#match-writeup match:slovenia-scotland-2026-09-26-preview Thu, 24 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Slovenia host Scotland in a game our model cannot separate: 36% for the home side, 30% for the draw and 34% for the visitors. https://fulltimestats.com/match/italy-vs-belgium-2026-09-25#match-writeup match:italy-belgium-2026-09-25-preview Wed, 23 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Italy host Belgium in a game our model cannot separate: 34% for the home side, 31% for the draw and 35% for the visitors. https://fulltimestats.com/match/sweden-vs-romania-2026-09-25#match-writeup match:sweden-romania-2026-09-25-preview Wed, 23 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Sweden host Romania in a game our model cannot separate: 32% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 39% for the visitors. https://fulltimestats.com/match/turkiye-vs-france-2026-09-25#match-writeup match:turkiye-france-2026-09-25-preview Wed, 23 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Our model leans to France here, but not by much: 50% (fair odds 2.00) against 26% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-2, the likeliest exact score within that result. https://fulltimestats.com/article/model-recap-2026-09-21 recap:2026-09-21 Tue, 22 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Of the 10 matches our model predicted before kick-off on Monday 21 September 2026, it called the result of 4 (40%). It named the exact scoreline once. Across all 2,810 matches it has predicted since 19 July, the rate is 47%. https://fulltimestats.com/article/model-recap-2026-09-20 recap:2026-09-20 Mon, 21 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Of the 128 matches our model predicted before kick-off on Sunday 20 September 2026, it called the result of 58 (45%). It named the exact scoreline 14 times. Across all 2,800 matches it has predicted since 19 July, the rate is 47%. https://fulltimestats.com/article/model-recap-2026-09-19 recap:2026-09-19 Sun, 20 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Of the 136 matches our model predicted before kick-off on Saturday 19 September 2026, it called the result of 53 (39%). It named the exact scoreline 12 times. Across all 2,672 matches it has predicted since 19 July, the rate is 47%. https://fulltimestats.com/article/model-recap-2026-09-18 recap:2026-09-18 Sat, 19 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Of the 40 matches our model predicted before kick-off on Friday 18 September 2026, it called the result of 18 (45%). It named the exact scoreline 5 times. Across all 2,536 matches it has predicted since 19 July, the rate is 47%. https://fulltimestats.com/betis-real-madrid-one-point editorial:betis-real-madrid-one-point Sat, 05 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Our model gave Real Betis 36% at home to Real Madrid and Betis won. It gave Ipswich 40% against Liverpool and Liverpool won. https://fulltimestats.com/champions-league-round-one editorial:champions-league-round-one Fri, 04 Sep 2026 06:00:00 GMT Across all eighteen Champions League opening fixtures our model gives exactly one team better than a 70% chance. The median favourite is 45%.